Democrats certainly feel they have more to talk about with their recent legislative wins, and those will enthuse their supporters.”
“Abortion is absolutely driving massive interest in this year’s elections … At the same time, we are hearing less about inflation, as it appears to have peaked.
“To say this cycle’s campaigns are nationalized is an understatement,” said Micah Rasmussen, director of the Rebovich Institute for New Jersey Politics at Rider University. All those things put together have given the Democrats some hope.” Then he (Biden) had a big success unexpectedly with the climate change bill. Inflation started to drop, gas prices started to drop. “Then about a month later, the president’s job approval rating started to climb. “We have a lot of moving parts right now, but all those moving parts have been moving in Democrats’ favor, and we can probably trace it to around the time of the Dobbs (abortion) decision,” said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, referring to the Supreme Court decision in June. Tom Malinowski (D-7th) continuing to be most at risk of losing his seat following a redistricting that shifted from a Democratic voter registrant plurality to a Republican plurality. But with both inflation and gas prices declining and Democrats bragging about federal funding for infrastructure projects, including the Gateway tunnel, the focus is now back to just a handful of districts, with central Jersey Rep.
But some had predicted that incumbents in even staunchly Democratic districts could have a tough time this November for a number of reasons. How Trump could upend midterm elections even in NJOver the last two elections, New Jersey has had four swing races.
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